Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.134321e-05 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078
2025-03-02 2.248132e-05 0.000030 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060 0.000074 0.000090
2025-03-09 1.720636e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000079 0.000101
2025-03-16 1.359949e-05 0.000021 0.000032 0.000045 0.000063 0.000084 0.000112
2025-03-23 1.108976e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000065 0.000090 0.000122
2025-03-30 9.015590e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000044 0.000066 0.000094 0.000132
2025-04-06 7.118532e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000042 0.000066 0.000096 0.000139
2025-04-13 5.319928e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000039 0.000064 0.000096 0.000142
2025-04-20 4.180168e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000038 0.000063 0.000098 0.000148
2025-04-27 3.491667e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000103 0.000157
2025-05-04 2.970581e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000038 0.000067 0.000108 0.000167
2025-05-11 2.816729e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000117 0.000184
2025-05-18 2.226028e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000123 0.000196
2025-05-25 1.530845e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000038 0.000072 0.000124 0.000202
2025-06-01 1.086349e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000036 0.000072 0.000127 0.000211
2025-06-08 7.737572e-07 0.000005 0.000014 0.000035 0.000073 0.000130 0.000220
2025-06-15 5.630225e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000074 0.000135 0.000231
2025-06-22 3.912917e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000034 0.000074 0.000138 0.000241
2025-06-29 2.433338e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000073 0.000140 0.000247
2025-07-06 1.235007e-07 0.000002 0.000010 0.000030 0.000071 0.000138 0.000249
2025-07-13 6.649229e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000029 0.000070 0.000140 0.000256
2025-07-20 4.045522e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000145 0.000267
2025-07-27 2.475352e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000073 0.000150 0.000280